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Journal: 

MASHREQ-E MOUOOD

Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2014
  • Volume: 

    8
  • Issue: 

    29
  • Pages: 

    79-112
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    0
  • Views: 

    2434
  • Downloads: 

    0
Abstract: 

Futurology as a study of postulating possible, probable, and preferable futures is a Western and secular science that the West has stumbled over its overall mission and does not work well in non-Western societies as it do not have the required effectiveness. ISLAMIC Futurology and FUTURISTIC STUDIES is a new version and an alternative which is also compatible with the ISLAMIC worldview and takes benefit from Islam in a maximal way. This versions of Futurology has not been fully formed yet in order to bring objectivity to it, there is a long way to go. The first step is feasibility as a justified ISLAMIC science because most Futurologists would consider this knowledge as inherently secular. After that, the roadmap for realization of the ISLAMIC Futurology should be drawn. Undoubtedly, the ISLAMIC alternative to the secular Futurology does not happen with focus on philosophical reflection alone and it requires both of the theoretical and practical aspects to be include in it. Thus, in this paper, the issue of the feasibility of the ISLAMIC FUTURISTIC STUDIES will be elaborated upon. Furthermore, the 'attitude - ISLAMIC FUTURISTIC STUDIES' will be presented as a context in order to shape up the ISLAMIC FUTURISTIC STUDIES in a strategic approach.

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Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2022
  • Volume: 

    7
  • Issue: 

    2
  • Pages: 

    1-22
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    0
  • Views: 

    156
  • Downloads: 

    15
Abstract: 

Purpose: Clustering and co-word analysis is a method to reveal relationships and links and illustrate the intellectual structure of a scientific field. This research tries to study the intellectual structure of articles in the field of futures STUDIES in Iran by using the technique of co-word analysis. Method: The current research is a descriptive-analytical development with a scientometric approach. The statistical population is 921 articles retrieved records in the field of futures STUDIES. Findings: The findings showed that articles in the field of futures STUDIES in Iran are often associated with positive growth, and in terms of frequency, the keywords scenario, ISLAMIC Republic, and foresight are the most frequent in futures STUDIES. The findings related to the hierarchical clustering led to the formation of 8 clusters in this field, namely "ICT visions", "geographers who love the future", "knowledge development", " FUTURISTIC higher education", "Future of Religion", "Regional Relations", "Strategic Foresight" and "Heavy Weight of Method". Conclusion: According to the findings of the current research and the high frequency of the keyword scenario, as well as the density and relationships of this keyword with other keywords, it can be concluded that the scenario is the dominant approach in futures STUDIES. Also, according to the resulting clusters, it was observed that these researches have a high variety, but addressing the future in many areas is still neglected.

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Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2022
  • Volume: 

    3
  • Issue: 

    2
  • Pages: 

    57-78
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    0
  • Views: 

    47
  • Downloads: 

    0
Abstract: 

In the modern era, many of the social and cultural functions of Bazar are reproduced and responded to in shopping malls, which are a kind of new urban spaces. While the effects that the key driving forces have on future condition of mental image in large shopping centers, have caused serious concerns, which necessitates FUTURISTIC STUDIES. The purpose of this research is to investigate the future condition of mental image in large shopping centers using the scenario writing approach. Therefore, it asks this question that "considering the inevitability of creating large shopping centers as an emerging urban space, the change in the future condition of the mental image of large shopping centers is caused by which drivers or factors?" In order to answer this question, the exploratory FUTURISTIC approach with combined method has been used At first, method of content analysis and documentary STUDIES tools; Then, the method of grounded theory with the interview tool of 15 experts; and NVIVO 11 software, The primary drives and then the main drives are extracted. then identification and analysis of effective key drivers, with Delphi technique, survey method and questionnaire tool from 15 experts ; and interaction analysis technique was used with MICMAC software. The findings of the research indicate that first 68 primary factors were identified in the three dimensions of time, place and social culture, through literature review and interviews with experts, and twenty-five main factors were identified using NVIVO 11 interview analysis software. And finally, after surveying experts with a questionnaire and using data in MICMAC software, 15 effective key drivers were extracted. All in all, the scores of direct and indirect effects of determining factors were ranked And the scenario of probable future state of the mental image of large shopping malls was presented.

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Journal: 

POLITICAL KNOWLEDGE

Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2021
  • Volume: 

    16
  • Issue: 

    2 (32)
  • Pages: 

    487-512
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    0
  • Views: 

    1255
  • Downloads: 

    0
Abstract: 

Foresight Analysus of the Second Step Statement of the ISLAMIC Revolution The second step by the Supreme Leader's statement represents the beginning of a new era in the life of the ISLAMIC Revolution and outlining its future in the form of an important charter for new generations. Given the strategic importance and position of this document, this research seeks to answer the key question of what are the future implications of the Second Step Statement of the Revolution? In order to answer this question and to show the strategic nature of the document of the second step of the revolution and to distinguish it from other documents, it has been attempted to use a FUTURISTIC, Martha Lasley’, s analysis and a descriptive-analytical approach. The data collection tool is the extraction of the second step statement and other related resources The application of Martha Lasley’, s approach to the analysis of the second step statement shows that this statement has the characteristics of a strategic document. It is possible to illustrate the seven steps of the martial arts method in analyzing strategic documents, and draw the desired picture and outlook for the future of the ISLAMIC Revolution in the Second Step Statement. The first step of the statement deals with the process of qualitative and historical research in explaining revolutionary causes and conditions,Then, with steps such as explaining the shaping values of the ISLAMIC Revolution, it then goes on to describe the environment of the second step (the stage of self-organization and socialization). Then, by outlining the drivers shaping the future of the revolution, largely derived from the soft nature of the ISLAMIC Revolution, it points to a desirable picture and vision of the future, that is the modern ISLAMIC civilization. The methodological diligence in this statement shows that its formulation has a logical and rule-bound continuum that distinguishes this document from other political documents and texts and places it in the category of strategic documents.

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Author(s): 

Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    0
  • Volume: 

    44
  • Issue: 

    11
  • Pages: 

    69-86
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    1
  • Views: 

    111
  • Downloads: 

    0
Keywords: 
Abstract: 

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Writer: 

RAHAEI OMID

Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2016
  • Volume: 

    2
Measures: 
  • Views: 

    124
  • Downloads: 

    141
Abstract: 

AT THE BEGINNING OF THE 21ST CENTURY THE IRREGULAR CONSUMPTION AND CONSEQUENTLY IMPENDENT DISCHARGE OF NONRENEWABLE ENERGY AND MATERIAL RESOURCES HAS BECOME BASE OF MANY DISCUSSIONS AMONG ARCHITECTS AND URBAN PLANNERS AND "SUSTAINABLE ARCHITECTURE" HAS BECOME THE FOCUS OF MANY ARCHITECTURAL DEBATES IN THE LAST TWO DECADES. CONSTRUCTION INDUSTRY IS ONE OF THE MAJOR CONSUMERS OF NONRENEWABLE RESOURCES AND TO APPROACH SUSTAINABILITY, IT IS IMPORTANT TO POSTPONE THE "END OF LIFE" OF BUILDINGS IN PLANNING AND DESIGN PROCESSES. IN THIS REGARD THE STRUCTURES OF BUILDINGS PLAY A SIGNIFICANT ROLE AND THE TERM OF "SUSTAINABLE STRUCTURE" IS THEREFORE INTRODUCED.THIS PAPER IS GOING TO EXPLAIN THE TERM OF "SUSTAINABLE STRUCTURE" IN ENVIRONMENTAL ARCHITECTURE OF SOME CASE STUDIES. THEN IT EXPLORES STRATEGIES TOWARD OBTAINING SUSTAINABLE STRUCTURES IN ARCHITECTURE. THIS ARTICLE WHICH IS DERIVED FROM AN INTERPRETIVE-HISTORICAL RESEARCH HAS A SYSTEMATIC METHODOLOGY AND THE ANALYSIS IS IMPLEMENTED IN A DESKWORK PROCESS. THE CASES ARE ILLUSTRATED AND THE CONSTRUCTION STRATEGIES IN THE FIELDS OF "EFFICACY", "MAINTENANCE" AND "END OF LIFE" ISSUES ARE CONSIDERED. THE CONSIDERATIONS ARE CONCENTRATED ON THE STRUCTURAL MEMBERS AND MATERIALS IN THOSE BUILDINGS. FINALLY THE PAPER IS GOING TO PROPOSE OUTLINES IN DESIGN OF STRUCTURES FOR FUTURISTIC BUILDINGS.

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Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2023
  • Volume: 

    12
  • Issue: 

    45
  • Pages: 

    129-156
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    0
  • Views: 

    43
  • Downloads: 

    20
Abstract: 

According to the writers, the city of Isfahan has the ability to become an ISLAMIC global city, considering its historical records and natural, political and economic capabilities and its strategic position in the country and the Middle East region. But due to the economic and political challenges in recent years, especially the sanctions and recent economic recessions, these opportunities have been faced with risks that in this research possible scenarios (golden, stagnant and catastrophic) are examined as the ISLAMIC globalcity. This article is for reviewing and defining the ISLAMIC global city and identifying the indicators of the ISLAMIC global city and Analysis of possible scenarios (golden, static and catastrophic) of Isfahan as an ISLAMIC global city. For this purpose, it examines the most important factors affecting the emergence of Isfahan as an ISLAMIC city in the world and analyzes the possible scenarios of Isfahan in a FUTURISTIC way. This research is applied in terms of purpose and according to the studied components, the approach is the descriptive-analytical method And environmental and Delphi scanning technique has been used to identify variables and indicators. Based on the obtained sources and experts' opinions, out of 168 variables of global city and ISLAMIC City, 51 variables were obtained to identify the global ISLAMIC City. The identified variables were categorized based on the level of impact and placed in Mick Mac software for crossimpact analysis matrix calculations. Finally, 16 variables including GDP, urban market dynamics, diversity and competitiveness of commodity prices, hosting large international companies (top 500 global companies), urban population, number of international direct flights, number of large hotels, Number of foreign visitors, diversity of energy production, attraction capacity of tourist sites, location in main transportation routes, low government interference in the market and market supervision, establishment of international banks, existence of international stock exchanges, number of top universities and the amount of foreign direct investment (FDI) were obtained As effective key drivers of Isfahan's transformation into a global city. From the analysis of these 16 variables, 3 scenarios were predicted for the next 10 years in Isfahan global city.

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Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2018
  • Volume: 

    3
  • Issue: 

    10
  • Pages: 

    103-120
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    0
  • Views: 

    749
  • Downloads: 

    0
Abstract: 

It is impossible to deal with cyber threats in order to eliminate them completely. Therefore, the main objective of this research is to explore the scientific community's understanding of the current state of the cyberspace and provide a model for improving the security of the space. The purpose of this research is of the type of developmental research. In terms of approach, it is a kind of qualitative research of the future research that was identified by environmental monitoring of information related to the subject and combined with the further method of the findings, and eventually Using the grounded theory, the output theory is presented in the framework of the model. The main source for collecting data from this research is the available documents (books, previous STUDIES, and related materials in related meetings and conferences). In order to evaluate the validity and reliability of the model, the focus groups and Kappa index were used. The results of the research indicate that because of the great impact and ease and simplicity of the application and variety of tools and methods, the cyber threat is decisive and should be addressed through cultural development, infrastructure development, non-cyber defense, technical measures and physical security, and The management arrangements will provide a genuine change in cyberspace to achieve cybercrime independence.

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Author(s): 

Amuabdullahi Fatemeh

Journal: 

STRATEGY FOR CULTURE

Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2018
  • Volume: 

    11
  • Issue: 

    41
  • Pages: 

    163-198
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    0
  • Views: 

    600
  • Downloads: 

    0
Abstract: 

With the victory of the ISLAMIC Revolution of Iran and strong ISLAMIC inclinations across the world, particularly after the collapse of the Soviet Union and decline of Marxism, “ Islam” has been introduced and known as one of the fault-lines against the hegemony of the United States. Simultaneous with the introduction of the issue of Islam in the West, it is observed that the media of these countries have launched the project of Islamophobia, particularly in the Hollywood films. One of the main means to confront the said condition is utilizing the capacities of the Iranian domestic media, which requires to be equipped with knowledge, technology and ISLAMIC insight in this campaign. In this regard, one should prepare a suitable picture of the possible future trends and take steps toward proper planning and offering policies to confront the problem. By employing scenario planning method and critical uncertainty approach as well as using Micmac software, attempts have been made in this paper to find out the alternative future scenarios of Hollywood cinema activities in the field of Islam. The findings indicate that the drives of US National Security Doctrine and globalization have the highest degree of uncertainty and in their crossing in two axes, four scenarios are created about the alternative futures of Hollywood Cinema in the field of Islam, i. e. scenario of terrorists, scenario of the Third World people, scenario of the globalized people, and the scenario of outsiders.

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Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2022
  • Volume: 

    7
  • Issue: 

    2
  • Pages: 

    23-54
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    0
  • Views: 

    139
  • Downloads: 

    7
Abstract: 

Purpose: The flourishing of political parties and currents is one of the signs of the degree of development in societies. In contemporary Iran and since the formation of the constitutional movement, political currents have gone through many ups and downs and it can be said that political currents in Iran after the ISLAMIC Revolution have not yet reached the stage of institutionalization and stability. A characteristic feature of political currents in Iran is the divergence and division among political currents in recent decades, and this can be one of the reasons for the instability and cross-sectional and seasonal activity of political parties in Iran. Therefore, the necessity of leading research seeks to answer the question of how factors and divergence among political currents in Iran after the victory of the ISLAMIC Revolution can be analyzed? And what are the scenarios for the advancement of political currents in Iran?Method: To answer this question, the method of causal-layer analysis, which is one of the qualitative methods in futures research, has been used.Findings: The research findings indicate that this divergence is due to a wide range of reasons from the level of causal systems (from the institutionalization of power to the formation of parties as elitist initiatives), worldview and discourse (from charismatic political authority to culture). Subsidiary-follower politics to myth-metaphor (Iranian individualism to belief in a strong state-weak society) can be analyzed.Conclusions: Three scenarios for the future of Iranian political currents can be considered: integration of currents as the security valve of the political system, the collapse of political currents in the traditional form, integration and consolidation in new social movements (virtualized parties).

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